Celaya vs Cimarrones de Sonora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
21.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
10º
13º
11º
22
4º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 28 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 27 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 23 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 6 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
TIA
1 - 2
TOR
21%
28%
51%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
TOR
0 - 0
ATL
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
TOR
1 - 1
TEM
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
ALE
2 - 1
TOR
27%
29%
45%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
CDT
1 - 1
TOR
38%
29%
34%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
CAP
2 - 1
CIM
37%
28%
35%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
CIM
4 - 2
ALE
51%
27%
22%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
TIA
1 - 2
CIM
27%
28%
45%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
CIM
0 - 0
ATL
29%
28%
43%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
CIM
2 - 0
DOR
60%
24%
17%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +1 |