Liga de Expansión MX - Apertura Semi-finals
Global 3-1
Celaya vs Cimarrones de Sonora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
24.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2022 |
CIM
0 - 0
TOR
37%
28%
35%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
TOR
1 - 0
DUR
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
DUR
0 - 1
TOR
37%
28%
35%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
TOR
0 - 3
UAT
65%
22%
13%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
UDG
0 - 2
TOR
37%
28%
35%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2022 |
CIM
0 - 0
TOR
37%
28%
35%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CIM
3 - 1
MOR
33%
27%
40%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
MOR
2 - 0
CIM
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
CIM
1 - 1
MER
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
TEM
0 - 2
CIM
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |