Celaya vs Cimarrones de Sonora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
27.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2022 |
CIM
1 - 0
TOR
38%
28%
34%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2022 |
TOR
2 - 1
CFC
53%
26%
21%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
CFC
0 - 1
TOR
34%
29%
37%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
TOR
1 - 0
MER
52%
27%
22%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2022 |
TAM
2 - 2
TOR
34%
29%
37%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2022 |
CIM
1 - 0
TOR
38%
28%
34%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
ALE
0 - 0
CIM
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
CIM
1 - 3
ALE
48%
27%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2022 |
CIM
2 - 1
CDT
52%
27%
21%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
CIM
2 - 0
TEM
40%
27%
32%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |