Celaya vs Cimarrones de Sonora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
30.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
UAT
1 - 0
TOR
33%
27%
40%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
ATL
1 - 1
TOR
45%
28%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
TEM
0 - 1
TOR
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
TOR
1 - 2
SPT
54%
26%
21%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
RYD
1 - 0
TOR
32%
29%
39%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
CIM
2 - 1
SPT
50%
26%
25%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
TAM
1 - 2
CIM
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
CIM
1 - 2
RYD
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 2
CIM
69%
19%
12%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
MER
2 - 0
CIM
33%
27%
40%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |