Celaya vs Cimarrones de Sonora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
21.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 0
TOR
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
TOR
1 - 1
PUM
25%
24%
51%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
TOR
1 - 1
TAM
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2017 |
MON
3 - 0
TOR
74%
16%
9%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
JUA
1 - 1
TOR
55%
25%
19%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
CIM
0 - 0
CAÑ
39%
28%
34%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
CIM
0 - 1
PAC
16%
22%
62%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
CAF
1 - 2
CIM
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2017 |
QRO
2 - 0
CIM
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
CIM
0 - 1
MUR
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |