Celaya Premier vs Topos de Reynosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
NEX
3 - 0
CEL
68%
19%
14%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CEL
1 - 1
COR
43%
25%
32%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CEL
0 - 1
ZAM
30%
24%
45%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
REB
1 - 0
CEL
70%
18%
12%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
CEL
2 - 0
ACA
22%
23%
55%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
Topos de Reynosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
TOP
2 - 2
ZAM
22%
23%
55%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
REB
2 - 0
TOP
74%
17%
9%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
TOP
1 - 1
ACA
20%
23%
57%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
CAL
3 - 1
TOP
61%
21%
18%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
TOP
0 - 2
SAH
41%
25%
34%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -2 |