Celaya Premier vs Selva Cañera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
47.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
MAL
4 - 3
CEL
61%
21%
18%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CEL
0 - 3
CUA
33%
25%
42%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -2 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
CHI
2 - 2
CEL
55%
22%
24%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CEL
0 - 2
GLA
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
CHE
1 - 0
CEL
50%
23%
26%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Selva Cañera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
SEL
4 - 2
HID
77%
15%
8%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SEL
2 - 0
PAT
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
SEL
0 - 1
CAN
53%
23%
25%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
MAL
3 - 3
SEL
43%
24%
33%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
SEL
2 - 0
CUA
43%
24%
34%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +2 |