Celaya Premier vs Real Zamora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
45.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
REB
1 - 0
CEL
70%
18%
12%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
CEL
2 - 0
ACA
22%
23%
55%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | +2 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
CAL
2 - 1
CEL
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CEL
0 - 1
SAH
45%
24%
31%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
ASL
4 - 2
CEL
65%
20%
16%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Real Zamora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
ZAM
3 - 0
COR
56%
23%
22%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
ZAM
0 - 0
REB
36%
25%
40%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
ACA
1 - 1
ZAM
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
ZAM
2 - 0
CAL
53%
23%
24%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
SAH
1 - 3
ZAM
45%
24%
31%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |