Celaya Premier vs Colibríes de Malinalco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
50.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
CUA
3 - 0
CEL
62%
21%
18%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CEL
1 - 1
CHI
42%
26%
32%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
GLA
2 - 1
CEL
52%
23%
26%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CEL
1 - 1
CHE
42%
25%
33%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2016 |
LOB
1 - 3
CEL
74%
16%
10%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | +4 |
Matches
Colibríes de Malinalco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
MAL
3 - 1
HID
74%
16%
10%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
MAL
4 - 1
PAT
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
SEL
1 - 1
MAL
48%
23%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
CAN
1 - 1
MAL
47%
24%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
MAL
1 - 1
CUA
48%
24%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |