Celaya Premier vs Chivas Rayadas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
52.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
DSJ
1 - 2
CEL
60%
21%
20%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
CEL
1 - 1
CAL
25%
24%
51%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
ASL
3 - 3
CEL
70%
18%
12%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
CEL
0 - 2
ACA
24%
24%
52%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
NEX
2 - 1
CEL
62%
21%
18%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Chivas Rayadas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
REB
1 - 4
CHI
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
CHI
4 - 0
PRO
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
MIC
0 - 1
CHI
26%
25%
50%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 1
NEX
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
CHI
5 - 0
DSJ
65%
20%
15%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |