Ceilândia vs Paranoá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
24%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
CEI
0 - 1
PAR
66%
19%
15%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
GAM
3 - 2
CEI
75%
15%
10%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
CEI
3 - 3
BRA
15%
20%
65%
|
46 | 73 | 27 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
GUA
0 - 0
CEI
33%
25%
43%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
DOM
2 - 1
CEI
51%
23%
27%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Paranoá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
PAR
2 - 0
DOM
34%
25%
41%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
GUA
4 - 2
PAR
41%
24%
35%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
LUZ
2 - 2
PAR
43%
24%
33%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
PAR
2 - 1
PAR
57%
21%
23%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
PAR
0 - 1
GAM
20%
22%
58%
|
41 | 63 | 22 | 0 |