Brasiliense Etapas Finales. Semi-finals
Global 4-3
Ceilândia vs Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
GAM
0 - 0
CEI
25%
25%
50%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CEI
2 - 0
CEI
71%
18%
11%
|
56 | 25 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 0
CEI
57%
22%
21%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
GAM
1 - 1
CEI
23%
24%
53%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
CEI
0 - 0
DOM
64%
20%
16%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
GAM
0 - 0
CEI
25%
25%
50%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
DOM
2 - 2
GAM
36%
25%
39%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
GAM
1 - 1
CEI
23%
24%
53%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
GAM
2 - 0
PAR
50%
23%
27%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 5
GAM
14%
22%
65%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | +1 |