Ceilândia vs Ceilandense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
BSE
1 - 1
CEI
24%
25%
50%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
CEI
1 - 0
SOB
28%
23%
48%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
CEI
1 - 3
CEI
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
CEI
1 - 1
LUZ
68%
19%
13%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
LEG
0 - 2
CEI
43%
25%
32%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Ceilandense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CEI
1 - 1
LEG
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
LUZ
3 - 2
CEI
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
CEI
3 - 3
BDF
40%
25%
35%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
CEI
0 - 0
FOR
35%
25%
40%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
BDF
2 - 1
CEI
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |