Ceilândia vs Botafogo DF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
24.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
CAP
2 - 3
CEI
27%
26%
48%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 0
CEI
72%
19%
10%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
CEI
0 - 7
GAM
39%
24%
37%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
CEI
0 - 5
CEI
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
BSE
1 - 1
CEI
24%
25%
50%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo DF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
BDF
3 - 2
CAP
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 1
BDF
42%
25%
34%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
BDF
0 - 2
BSE
64%
21%
16%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
BDF
3 - 1
GAM
28%
24%
48%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
CEI
3 - 3
BDF
40%
25%
35%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |