Ceilândia vs Botafogo DF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
13%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
BRA
0 - 0
CEI
80%
14%
7%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
CEI
0 - 3
GAM
26%
22%
51%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
CEI
2 - 1
BRA
25%
23%
51%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
LUZ
1 - 2
CEI
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
CEI
1 - 2
GAM
31%
23%
46%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo DF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
GAM
2 - 2
BDF
76%
16%
8%
|
33 | 62 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
BDF
1 - 1
BRA
15%
20%
65%
|
33 | 66 | 33 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
BDF
0 - 2
DOM
29%
25%
46%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
BDF
0 - 4
BRA
19%
21%
60%
|
35 | 68 | 33 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2008 |
CEI
1 - 0
BDF
70%
17%
13%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |