Ceilandense vs Botafogo DF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
35.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceilandense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
CEI
0 - 0
FOR
35%
25%
40%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
BDF
2 - 1
CEI
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
CEI
1 - 2
BRA
19%
21%
60%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
BRA
0 - 1
CEI
56%
22%
21%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
CEI
2 - 1
CEI
37%
26%
37%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Botafogo DF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
BDF
3 - 1
CFZ
64%
20%
15%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
BDF
2 - 1
CEI
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
CEI
3 - 2
BDF
53%
23%
24%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
GAM
0 - 0
BDF
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
BDF
1 - 1
BRA
18%
21%
61%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |