Ceilandense vs Botafogo DF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
29.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceilandense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
BRA
4 - 0
CEI
75%
17%
9%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
CEI
1 - 1
BRA
36%
24%
40%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
CEI
1 - 0
CEI
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2011 |
CEI
1 - 0
CFZ
57%
22%
21%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
GAM
1 - 1
CEI
74%
17%
9%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo DF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
BDF
1 - 1
CEI
34%
26%
40%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
BDF
2 - 2
GAM
17%
21%
63%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
BRA
1 - 0
BDF
75%
16%
9%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
BDF
2 - 2
FOR
36%
25%
38%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
BRA
1 - 2
BDF
66%
19%
15%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +1 |