Cegledi vs Budapest Honvéd II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
72%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
8º
16º
16º
34
6º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
9º
|
53.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
53.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
68.5% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
13 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cegledi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
MLS
1 - 2
CEG
72%
16%
13%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CEG
1 - 3
FUZ
21%
21%
58%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
KTE
3 - 0
CEG
77%
14%
9%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CEG
0 - 4
MON
10%
15%
76%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
PEN
4 - 1
CEG
81%
13%
6%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Budapest Honvéd II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
HON
0 - 3
HOD
37%
23%
40%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
BDP
1 - 2
HON
38%
22%
40%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
HON
1 - 2
MSK
44%
22%
35%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SCG
0 - 0
HON
8%
14%
78%
|
35 | 13 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
HON
1 - 5
BEK
18%
22%
60%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -2 |