Cegledi vs Hódmezővásárhelyi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
74.3%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.3%
0-4
6%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.5%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
8º
16º
16º
60
2º
14º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
9º
|
53.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
53.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
68.5% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
13 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cegledi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
BDP
2 - 1
CEG
83%
11%
6%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
CEG
2 - 7
MSK
17%
19%
64%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
SCG
0 - 1
CEG
7%
14%
79%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
ULE
5 - 0
CEG
11%
15%
74%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | -2 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
CEG
0 - 1
BEK
8%
14%
78%
|
21 | 47 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Hódmezővásárhelyi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
SZO
1 - 3
HOD
34%
24%
42%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
HOD
0 - 0
BDP
66%
18%
16%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
MSK
0 - 2
HOD
38%
22%
40%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
PLS
2 - 1
HOD
25%
20%
55%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
HOD
1 - 0
SCG
89%
8%
3%
|
38 | 9 | 29 | 0 |