Cegledi vs Budapesti Vasas II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.5%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
67.8%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
8º
16º
16º
47
6º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
9º
|
53.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
53.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
68.5% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
13 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cegledi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MSK
3 - 1
CEG
88%
9%
3%
|
13 | 40 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
CEG
0 - 4
SCG
40%
22%
39%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
REA
3 - 1
CEG
78%
14%
8%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
BEK
3 - 0
CEG
90%
8%
2%
|
15 | 51 | 36 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
CEG
1 - 3
ESM
9%
16%
75%
|
16 | 47 | 31 | -1 |
Matches
Budapesti Vasas II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
BDP
0 - 0
HOD
29%
22%
50%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
BDP
0 - 1
SZO
42%
22%
36%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
UJP
1 - 3
BDP
48%
21%
31%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
EGE
1 - 3
BDP
44%
24%
33%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
MTK
4 - 1
BDP
46%
22%
32%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |