Cefn Druids AFC vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.5%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
72.7%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
AIR
1 - 1
CEF
33%
26%
41%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2019 |
CEF
2 - 0
CON
25%
27%
48%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
CEF
2 - 0
GUI
69%
18%
13%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2019 |
CEF
2 - 1
CAR
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
ABE
1 - 3
CEF
51%
24%
26%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2019 |
TNS
1 - 2
CAR
85%
11%
4%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2019 |
BAR
1 - 4
TNS
12%
18%
70%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
TNS
9 - 0
MOL
93%
6%
1%
|
76 | 22 | 54 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2019 |
TNS
1 - 0
CAR
85%
11%
4%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
AIR
0 - 12
TNS
10%
17%
73%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | 0 |