Cefn Druids AFC vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
59.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
CEF
0 - 0
LLA
39%
27%
35%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 1
CEF
46%
25%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2017 |
CON
1 - 1
CEF
67%
21%
13%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
CEF
0 - 1
CON
27%
27%
46%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2017 |
BAL
2 - 1
CEF
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2018 |
CAE
1 - 3
TNS
15%
17%
69%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 1
TNS
28%
23%
50%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
TNS
2 - 1
BAN
56%
22%
22%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2018 |
PRE
1 - 4
TNS
13%
20%
68%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2018 |
BAL
0 - 3
TNS
38%
25%
37%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |