Cefn Druids AFC vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
61.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2014 |
CEF
0 - 2
NEW
34%
24%
42%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
BAL
3 - 1
CEF
75%
17%
9%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
CEF
2 - 1
POR
36%
25%
39%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
CEF
1 - 5
ABE
29%
24%
47%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2014 |
CON
1 - 1
CEF
62%
20%
18%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
TNS
1 - 0
BAL
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2014 |
POR
1 - 5
TNS
22%
25%
53%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2014 |
TNS
2 - 0
CON
74%
16%
10%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CAE
2 - 3
TNS
13%
19%
68%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
RHY
2 - 2
TNS
24%
25%
51%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | -1 |