Cefn Druids AFC vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
63%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
14%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
RHY
6 - 0
CEF
81%
13%
6%
|
39 | 66 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2010 |
CEF
1 - 1
AIR
22%
24%
54%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
CEF
2 - 5
LLA
15%
21%
64%
|
39 | 67 | 28 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
CAE
1 - 0
CEF
50%
23%
27%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2010 |
POR
7 - 0
CEF
72%
18%
10%
|
40 | 67 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2010 |
TNS
5 - 0
POR
84%
11%
4%
|
69 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
TNS
1 - 0
NEA
72%
17%
11%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 2
TNS
34%
28%
38%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2010 |
BAL
0 - 1
TNS
26%
27%
48%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
TNS
2 - 2
POR
56%
22%
21%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |