Cefn Druids AFC vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
53.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2008 |
CEF
3 - 3
WEL
37%
26%
38%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
CEF
1 - 0
HAV
34%
25%
42%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
NEW
1 - 0
CEF
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2008 |
CEF
5 - 1
CAE
63%
19%
17%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2008 |
CAE
1 - 2
CEF
55%
23%
23%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2008 |
CON
0 - 2
TNS
21%
23%
56%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
TNS
2 - 0
POR
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2008 |
TNS
0 - 1
SUD
49%
23%
28%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Jul. 2008 |
SUD
1 - 0
TNS
56%
22%
22%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
TNS
3 - 0
LLA
50%
23%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |