Cefn Druids AFC vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
54.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2007 |
CEF
1 - 3
WEL
29%
26%
46%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
CAE
1 - 1
CEF
59%
21%
20%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
CEF
2 - 2
HAV
27%
26%
47%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2007 |
TNS
3 - 1
CEF
81%
13%
5%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
NEW
0 - 2
CEF
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2007 |
WEL
1 - 0
TNS
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
TNS
1 - 3
CAE
79%
14%
7%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2007 |
CWM
0 - 5
TNS
17%
23%
60%
|
69 | 43 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
HAV
0 - 3
TNS
34%
28%
38%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2007 |
TNS
4 - 0
NEW
83%
12%
4%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | 0 |