Cefn Druids AFC vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
58.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2005 |
WEL
3 - 2
CEF
64%
20%
16%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
CEF
2 - 5
LLA
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2005 |
CAE
1 - 1
CEF
60%
21%
19%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2005 |
CEF
3 - 0
NEW
34%
27%
39%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2005 |
CEF
1 - 1
RHY
19%
23%
58%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
TNS
5 - 0
ABE
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2005 |
AIR
0 - 5
TNS
22%
24%
54%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
TNS
1 - 0
CWM
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2005 |
TNS
6 - 1
NEW
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2005 |
CON
0 - 2
TNS
23%
24%
53%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |