Cefn Druids AFC vs Porthmadog analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
10.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
PEN
0 - 3
CEF
21%
23%
56%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
CEF
0 - 0
GUI
77%
15%
9%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
CEF
4 - 0
RHY
83%
12%
6%
|
50 | 22 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
FLI
1 - 2
CEF
25%
24%
51%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
CEF
1 - 0
HOL
76%
15%
9%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
LLA
2 - 2
POR
36%
23%
42%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
POR
3 - 1
PEN
60%
20%
20%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
POR
2 - 5
CAE
45%
23%
32%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
CAE
4 - 3
POR
61%
20%
19%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
POR
2 - 0
FLI
51%
22%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |