Cefn Druids AFC vs Porthmadog analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
23.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
CON
0 - 1
CEF
49%
23%
29%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
AEL
0 - 2
CEF
18%
21%
60%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
LLA
1 - 2
CEF
24%
23%
54%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
CON
1 - 2
CEF
69%
18%
14%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
CEF
1 - 3
LLA
71%
17%
12%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
POR
2 - 3
PEN
73%
16%
11%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
LLA
1 - 2
POR
37%
25%
38%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
POR
6 - 2
LLA
80%
13%
7%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
PEN
1 - 2
POR
18%
20%
62%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
POR
1 - 2
CAE
67%
18%
14%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |