Cefn Druids AFC vs Porthmadog analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
36.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2006 |
ABE
3 - 0
CEF
66%
21%
13%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
CEF
0 - 3
POR
34%
27%
39%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
CWM
3 - 2
CEF
65%
20%
16%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2006 |
CEF
2 - 2
CON
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
CAE
2 - 1
CEF
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
POR
2 - 2
CAE
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
HAV
1 - 1
POR
66%
21%
13%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
POR
2 - 3
NEW
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
RHY
2 - 1
POR
70%
19%
11%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
POR
0 - 4
ABE
33%
25%
42%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |