Cefn Druids AFC vs Porthmadog analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
23%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2003 |
NEW
2 - 3
CEF
54%
23%
22%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
CWM
0 - 2
CEF
61%
21%
18%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 2003 |
CEF
0 - 2
TNS
22%
24%
55%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
WEL
3 - 1
CEF
43%
25%
32%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
CEF
5 - 3
LID
36%
28%
37%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2003 |
BAN
4 - 1
POR
80%
13%
7%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
POR
0 - 2
CWM
37%
25%
38%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
TNS
4 - 0
POR
71%
19%
11%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
POR
3 - 0
WEL
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
LID
1 - 0
POR
58%
24%
19%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |