Cefn Druids AFC vs Penycae FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.7%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.2%
7.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
CEF
5 - 1
LLA
75%
16%
10%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
RHA
0 - 4
CEF
21%
23%
56%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
CEF
4 - 0
BUC
54%
23%
24%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2013 |
RHY
2 - 0
CEF
69%
18%
14%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2013 |
CEF
3 - 0
RHA
79%
14%
8%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Penycae FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
PEN
5 - 1
POR
24%
22%
54%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
LLA
1 - 1
PEN
71%
17%
12%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
RHA
4 - 2
PEN
63%
19%
18%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2013 |
PEN
2 - 0
HOL
23%
21%
56%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
PEN
3 - 3
RHY
10%
16%
74%
|
22 | 52 | 30 | 0 |