Cefn Druids AFC vs Penybont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
59.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
CAE
3 - 0
CEF
81%
13%
7%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
CEF
0 - 0
HOL
65%
19%
17%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
NEW
5 - 0
CEF
80%
14%
7%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
CEF
1 - 4
BAR
21%
25%
54%
|
43 | 62 | 19 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
FLI
4 - 0
CEF
69%
19%
12%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 1
TNS
27%
24%
50%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
PEN
7 - 0
UND
87%
10%
3%
|
61 | 29 | 32 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
CAR
3 - 2
PEN
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 1
CON
33%
26%
41%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 1
NEW
42%
25%
33%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |