Cefn Druids AFC vs Penybont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
12%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2019 |
TNS
2 - 1
CEF
84%
12%
5%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
CEF
0 - 5
TNS
11%
17%
73%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
AIR
1 - 1
CEF
33%
26%
41%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2019 |
CEF
2 - 0
CON
25%
27%
48%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
CEF
2 - 0
GUI
69%
18%
13%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
PEN
0 - 0
CAE
20%
22%
59%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
PEN
1 - 1
CAR
44%
23%
32%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
CAR
3 - 2
PEN
59%
21%
21%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
PEN
0 - 2
NEW
25%
24%
50%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2019 |
BAL
4 - 0
PEN
75%
16%
9%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |