Cefn Druids AFC vs Oswestry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
29.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2002 |
CEF
0 - 2
WEL
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2002 |
CAR
0 - 1
CEF
64%
20%
16%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
CAE
2 - 1
CEF
64%
20%
16%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2002 |
CEF
0 - 2
RHY
29%
24%
46%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2002 |
BAN
2 - 0
CEF
70%
18%
12%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Oswestry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2002 |
NEW
1 - 3
OSW
54%
23%
23%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2002 |
CON
2 - 4
OSW
77%
15%
8%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2002 |
OSW
3 - 0
CAE
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +2 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
BAR
4 - 0
OSW
85%
10%
5%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
OSW
0 - 1
ABE
14%
20%
66%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |