Cefn Druids AFC vs Oswestry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
18.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
CEF
0 - 1
LLA
55%
21%
24%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2002 |
CON
2 - 1
CEF
70%
18%
12%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
BAR
6 - 0
CEF
77%
14%
9%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2002 |
CEF
1 - 0
NEW
43%
25%
33%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2002 |
CEF
4 - 2
RHA
67%
18%
15%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Oswestry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2002 |
OSW
1 - 0
CON
15%
22%
63%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
OSW
0 - 2
BAR
14%
21%
65%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
NEW
1 - 1
OSW
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2002 |
TNS
1 - 0
OSW
80%
13%
7%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
RHA
1 - 2
OSW
51%
22%
27%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |