Cefn Druids AFC vs Oswestry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
27%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2001 |
CAR
2 - 6
CEF
33%
25%
42%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2001 |
CAR
2 - 0
CEF
67%
19%
15%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2001 |
RHY
5 - 3
CEF
55%
22%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2000 |
RHA
1 - 1
CEF
39%
26%
36%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2000 |
CEF
1 - 2
CON
44%
25%
32%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Oswestry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2001 |
POR
0 - 2
OSW
46%
25%
30%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2001 |
NEW
2 - 0
OSW
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2000 |
RHY
1 - 1
OSW
54%
23%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2000 |
CON
0 - 2
OSW
59%
22%
19%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2000 |
OSW
0 - 1
CAE
40%
25%
35%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |