Cefn Druids AFC vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
66.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
CON
4 - 0
CEF
82%
14%
4%
|
40 | 69 | 29 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
HAV
2 - 1
CEF
74%
16%
10%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
CEF
0 - 1
ABE
19%
22%
59%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
BAL
1 - 1
CEF
88%
9%
3%
|
40 | 69 | 29 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
4 - 2
CEF
76%
16%
8%
|
40 | 65 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
HAV
1 - 0
NEW
19%
23%
58%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
BAL
3 - 1
NEW
54%
21%
25%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 0
CAE
57%
22%
22%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
CON
0 - 2
NEW
47%
25%
28%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
NEW
3 - 1
PEN
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |