Cefn Druids AFC vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
41.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
LLA
1 - 2
CEF
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2017 |
CEF
3 - 0
BAL
25%
24%
50%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2017 |
CEF
2 - 2
PRE
46%
23%
32%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2017 |
TNS
4 - 0
CEF
74%
17%
9%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2017 |
AIR
3 - 2
CEF
30%
24%
46%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
NEW
2 - 0
HOL
84%
11%
5%
|
64 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
NEW
0 - 1
CON
53%
23%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
PRE
0 - 0
NEW
25%
24%
51%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
NEW
4 - 0
ABE
74%
16%
10%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
BAR
2 - 0
NEW
19%
24%
57%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |