Cefn Druids AFC vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
35.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2010 |
BAN
3 - 1
CEF
73%
17%
10%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2009 |
AIR
1 - 1
CEF
70%
18%
12%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
CEF
0 - 1
CAR
22%
24%
55%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2009 |
PRE
2 - 0
CEF
72%
17%
12%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2009 |
CEF
0 - 1
WEL
32%
24%
43%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
NEW
2 - 5
BAN
30%
25%
46%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
CON
3 - 1
NEW
53%
24%
24%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
AIR
2 - 0
NEW
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2009 |
PRE
1 - 1
NEW
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
NEW
4 - 1
WEL
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |