Cefn Druids AFC vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
29.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2008 |
CAE
1 - 1
CEF
56%
22%
22%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2008 |
CEF
0 - 2
NEW
63%
20%
18%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
POR
3 - 2
CEF
63%
22%
15%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2008 |
CEF
0 - 1
TNS
23%
24%
53%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2008 |
CEF
3 - 3
WEL
37%
26%
38%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
NEW
0 - 0
TNS
21%
25%
54%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2008 |
CEF
0 - 2
NEW
63%
20%
18%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
NEW
4 - 1
WEL
30%
26%
44%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
NEW
0 - 1
AIR
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2008 |
NEW
7 - 1
CAE
61%
21%
19%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |