Cefn Druids AFC vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
21.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
NEA
1 - 0
CEF
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
CEF
0 - 1
HAV
32%
25%
43%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2008 |
CEF
3 - 2
CAE
68%
17%
15%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2008 |
POR
2 - 3
CEF
59%
21%
20%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2008 |
NEW
2 - 3
CEF
70%
18%
13%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
POR
3 - 1
NEW
44%
24%
32%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
NEW
2 - 6
LLA
17%
21%
62%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2008 |
NEW
2 - 3
CEF
70%
18%
13%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
CAM
0 - 1
NEW
28%
24%
48%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
POR
1 - 2
NEW
57%
23%
20%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |