Cefn Druids AFC vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
17.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
POR
3 - 2
CEF
63%
22%
15%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2008 |
CEF
0 - 1
TNS
23%
24%
53%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2008 |
CEF
3 - 3
WEL
37%
26%
38%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
CEF
1 - 0
HAV
34%
25%
42%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
NEW
1 - 0
CEF
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
NEW
4 - 1
WEL
30%
26%
44%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
NEW
0 - 1
AIR
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2008 |
NEW
7 - 1
CAE
61%
21%
19%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
RHY
3 - 0
NEW
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
ABE
2 - 2
NEW
66%
21%
13%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |