Cefn Druids AFC vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
21.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2006 |
RHY
2 - 2
CEF
78%
15%
7%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
LLA
3 - 1
CEF
83%
12%
5%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2006 |
CEF
3 - 0
POR
37%
26%
36%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2006 |
ABE
3 - 0
CEF
66%
21%
13%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
CEF
0 - 3
POR
34%
27%
39%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
NEW
0 - 1
CAE
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
HAV
3 - 2
NEW
72%
19%
9%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
WEL
1 - 0
NEW
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
NEW
0 - 6
RHY
18%
22%
61%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
NEW
0 - 2
LLA
23%
24%
53%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |