Cefn Druids AFC vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
39.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2005 |
CEF
1 - 1
RHY
19%
23%
58%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
HAV
0 - 0
CEF
72%
18%
10%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
GRA
3 - 1
CEF
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2005 |
CEF
1 - 1
POR
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
CEF
2 - 2
ABE
25%
25%
50%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2005 |
AIR
0 - 2
NEW
41%
26%
33%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
NEW
1 - 3
ABE
40%
25%
35%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
NEW
4 - 1
CWM
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2005 |
CON
0 - 2
NEW
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
NEW
2 - 1
CAR
38%
27%
35%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |