Cefn Druids AFC vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
50.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1999 |
RHA
3 - 1
CEF
43%
26%
32%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
CWM
2 - 1
CEF
77%
15%
8%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1999 |
CEF
1 - 2
BAN
41%
26%
34%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1999 |
BAR
7 - 0
CEF
76%
16%
9%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
CEF
2 - 0
ABE
26%
24%
49%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1999 |
NEW
2 - 0
CWM
47%
26%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
BAN
3 - 2
NEW
39%
26%
35%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1999 |
NEW
1 - 0
BAR
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
NEW
0 - 0
LID
67%
21%
12%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1999 |
ABE
3 - 2
NEW
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |