Cefn Druids AFC vs Llantwit Major analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.1%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
11.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
CEF
1 - 0
NEW
34%
25%
42%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 2
CEF
66%
20%
14%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
CEF
1 - 3
LLA
37%
26%
38%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2016 |
CEF
2 - 3
BAN
25%
24%
51%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
CEF
4 - 4
BAL
25%
25%
51%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Llantwit Major
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
LLA
1 - 0
LLA
75%
15%
10%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
SUL
2 - 6
LLA
11%
16%
73%
|
40 | 13 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
GOY
2 - 0
LLA
50%
23%
27%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |