Cefn Druids AFC vs Llanelli Town AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
14.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
BAR
3 - 2
CEF
63%
20%
17%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
NEW
1 - 1
CEF
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
CEF
2 - 5
BAR
36%
28%
37%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
CEF
0 - 3
TNS
14%
21%
65%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
TNS
7 - 0
CEF
79%
14%
7%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Llanelli Town AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
TNS
5 - 0
LLA
87%
10%
4%
|
47 | 75 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
LLA
2 - 1
LLA
30%
24%
47%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +2 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 0
LLA
66%
19%
15%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
LLA
1 - 1
CAR
30%
25%
45%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
LLA
1 - 7
BAL
18%
22%
61%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | -1 |