Cefn Druids AFC vs Llanelli AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
63.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
CAE
1 - 0
CEF
50%
23%
27%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2010 |
POR
7 - 0
CEF
72%
18%
10%
|
40 | 67 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2010 |
CEF
1 - 2
BAL
27%
25%
48%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
POR
1 - 0
CEF
63%
20%
17%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
NEA
1 - 1
CEF
75%
16%
9%
|
40 | 60 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Llanelli AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
BAN
2 - 0
LLA
35%
23%
41%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
LLA
5 - 0
POR
89%
8%
3%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2010 |
AIR
0 - 1
LLA
21%
23%
56%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
NEW
0 - 2
LLA
17%
21%
62%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
LLA
4 - 0
HOL
86%
9%
4%
|
69 | 42 | 27 | 0 |