Cefn Druids AFC vs Holywell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
34%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
GRE
1 - 2
CEF
12%
19%
69%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CEF
0 - 1
CAR
30%
25%
45%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
RHY
2 - 1
CEF
68%
19%
13%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
CEF
0 - 1
PRE
55%
21%
24%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
CEF
0 - 2
BAN
36%
24%
40%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Holywell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
HOL
0 - 0
CAE
48%
24%
28%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
HOL
0 - 0
ABE
22%
20%
57%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
BUC
0 - 1
HOL
27%
23%
50%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
MOL
0 - 1
HOL
25%
23%
52%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
ABE
3 - 1
HOL
68%
18%
14%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |